Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.032331 0.037361 0.042929 0.049552 0.057220 0.065823 0.076218
2026-02-01 0.023579 0.029946 0.037693 0.047824 0.060746 0.076705 0.097965
2026-02-08 0.018890 0.025778 0.034784 0.047448 0.064845 0.087981 0.121213
2026-02-15 0.015702 0.022722 0.032456 0.046980 0.068188 0.098159 0.143975
2026-02-22 0.013723 0.020885 0.031333 0.047745 0.073007 0.110640 0.171372
2026-03-01 0.011949 0.019016 0.029797 0.047521 0.076114 0.120755 0.196366
2026-03-08 0.010308 0.017077 0.027831 0.046253 0.077261 0.127779 0.217189
2026-03-15 0.008949 0.015384 0.025994 0.044871 0.077915 0.133905 0.237114
2026-03-22 0.008188 0.014575 0.025481 0.045593 0.082127 0.146381 0.269485
2026-03-29 0.007459 0.013718 0.024761 0.045823 0.085438 0.157592 0.300951
2026-04-05 0.006808 0.012912 0.024022 0.045895 0.088415 0.168474 0.333128
2026-04-12 0.006305 0.012314 0.023580 0.046444 0.092317 0.181480 0.371041
2026-04-19 0.005914 0.011895 0.023443 0.047606 0.097639 0.198043 0.418730
2026-04-26 0.005277 0.010910 0.022096 0.046185 0.097580 0.203880 0.445032
2026-05-03 0.004830 0.010260 0.021338 0.045870 0.099762 0.214562 0.483166
2026-05-10 0.004423 0.009641 0.020569 0.045428 0.101593 0.224684 0.521399
2026-05-17 0.004164 0.009307 0.020358 0.046169 0.106110 0.241188 0.576473
2026-05-24 0.003852 0.008820 0.019756 0.045953 0.108413 0.252977 0.622025
2026-05-31 0.003496 0.008192 0.018770 0.044728 0.108193 0.258884 0.654057
2026-06-07 0.003170 0.007594 0.017789 0.043392 0.107536 0.263654 0.683884
2026-06-14 0.003010 0.007372 0.017654 0.044090 0.111964 0.281334 0.749409
2026-06-21 0.002833 0.007090 0.017343 0.044312 0.115218 0.296481 0.810385
2026-06-28 0.002662 0.006803 0.016990 0.044382 0.118087 0.310992 0.871709